Looking at poc distribution we dont have any poc until 58k so we likely take a wick down to that area. woodsbot have daily along with weekly support at 59300 as well. 62700 is the key atm if price close 4h and 1h below 62700 then probability of price to go down to sweep 60k will increase substantially and this happens in today US session imo. I dont think so bottom is in until we see impulsive downside candle where we just take out 59200 – 58200.
Lets talk about macros,
60k – 54800 is the demand zone on weekly tf that you should focus on buying spot for short term. cycle wise GP zone of fibs starts from 57800 which havent been taken out yet but gp zone last until 28k. lose 53k and go back to 44k – 38.5k and this green zone is where we form cycle bottom is what my theory has been always.
ALL IN ALL, expect 59300 if 4h close below 62700 and if that level doesnt give bounce then i dont know what level will :kekw:
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**BTC**
比特币
观察POC分布，我们在58K之前没有任何POC，所以很可能会出现一根下影线，回落到那个区域。Woodsbot的日线和周线支撑位都在59300。当前关键位是62700，如果价格在4小时和1小时图上收盘低于62700，那么价格下行扫到60K的概率将大大增加，我认为这将在今天的美国交易时段发生。我不认为底部已经到位，除非我们看到一根冲击性下行的蜡烛，直接突破59200-58200。
我们来谈谈宏观方面，
60K-54800是周线上的需求区，短期内可以关注在这个区域买入现货。从周期角度看，Fibonacci的GP区域起点在57800，还没有被突破，但GP区域一直延续到28K。失守53K，回到44K-38.5K，这个绿色区域就是我一直认为的周期底部形成区域。
总的来说，如果4小时收盘低于62700，且该水平没有反弹，那么预计会回到59300，如果这个水平没有支撑，我就不知道会到哪个水平了。