
Levels unchanged after weekly close. We have 1h bear div under strong high atm and naked poc shifted to 75500 after weekly close which means i expect price to go down and take them out. Along with naked poc we have 1D/4h support that we are going to utilize for longs entry and dca at 74500 – 73800 where we have W/3D/5D support for us.
Tbh yesterday i was about to market long 76k but with iran negotiation is at critical stage where any trade here is more gamble and less TA cause nobody knows if the levels gonna hold with constant coinbase discount so this is the only reason i am flat atm
We will take market entry as soon as price retest 76000 – 75500 in today US session. Pretty slow PA but another confluence is EID incoming this week where we usually go down before or after +-3 days
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**BTC**
**比特币**
周收盘后水平保持不变。当前在强阻力高点下方有1小时的看跌背离,且裸点位(POC)在周收盘后移至75500,这意味着我预计价格会下跌并触及这些点位。除了裸点位外,我们还有日线和4小时的支撑,将用于多头入场和在74500-73800区间进行成本平均加仓,该区间有周线、3日线和5日线的支撑。
说实话,昨天我本打算在76000做市价多单,但鉴于伊朗谈判处于关键阶段,任何交易都更像是赌博而非技术分析,因为没人知道在Coinbase持续折价的情况下这些水平是否能守住,这也是我目前保持观望的唯一原因。
我们将在今日美盘时段价格回测76000-75500时进行市价入场。价格走势相当缓慢,另一个因素是本周即将迎来开斋节(EID),通常我们会在节日前后3天内出现下跌。